Thursday, May 8, 2014

Mosajet: Baby Boomers’ Retirement Means For the U.S. Econom...

Mosajet: Baby Boomers’ Retirement Means For the U.S. Econom...: Baby Boomers’ Retirement Means For the U.S. Economy The Idea f this study is not discussing the value of value of the elder power resource...

Baby Boomers’ Retirement Means For the U.S. Economy

Baby Boomers’ Retirement Means For the U.S. Economy
The Idea f this study is not discussing the value of value of the elder power resources But to show how is Our society in need of need New Blood injection to our body in order to Increase our youth force to support the increase of aging in our society..Either by Importing the manpower with the right age or encourage Youth to Immigrate to our Land and open Our schools , Jobs to them to blind them and Enrich our Society with their power; Below is a report of to explain my opinion ..thanks for visiting my Blog.
Mohsen Sarhan.
  What Baby Boomers’ Retirement Means For the U.S. Economy

For decades, the retirement of the baby boom generation has been a looming economic threat. Now, it’s no longer looming — it’s here. Every month, more than a quarter-million Americans turn 65. That’s a trend with profound economic consequences. Simply put, retirees don’t contribute as much to the economy as workers do. They don’t produce anything, at least directly. They don’t spend as much on average. And they’re much more likely to depend on others — the government or their own children, most often — than to support themselves.

The recession may have delayed the inevitable for a time. The financial crisis wiped away billions in retirement savings, forcing many Americans to work longer than planned. But the stock market has since rebounded, and there are signs that more Americans are at last feeling confident enough to leave the workforce. The labor force participation rate for older Americans — the share of those 55 and older who are working or actively looking for work — has fallen over the past year after rising through the recession and early years of the recovery. Roughly 17 percent of baby boomers now report that they are retired, up from 10 percent in 2010.1
Now that the wave has begun, nothing is likely to stop it. The Census Bureau on Tuesday released a pair of reports that show just how dramatic an impact the graying of the population will have in coming decades.
Nearly a quarter of Americans were born between 1946 and 1964, the typical definition of the baby boom generation. That’s more than 75 million people. In their heyday, the boomers were an unprecedented economic force, pushing up rates of homeownership, consumer spending and, most important of all, employment. It’s no coincidence that the U.S. labor force participation rate — the share of the adult population that has a job or is trying to find one — hit a record high in the late 1990s, when the boomers were at the peak of their working lives.
It’s been downhill ever since. The participation rate hit a 36-year low last month, and while there are multiple reasons for the decline, the aging of the baby boom generation is a dominant factor. In 2003, 82 percent of boomers were part of the labor force; a decade later, that number has declined to 66 percent, and it will only continue to fall.
All else equal, fewer workers means less economic growth. One way to measure this is a figure known as the “dependency ratio,” or the number of people outside of working age (under 18 or over 64) per 100 adults between age 18 and 64.2 The higher the ratio, the worse the news: If more of the population is young or old that leaves fewer working-age people to support them and contribute to the economy.

The U.S. dependency ratio has been improving in recent decades, falling from 65 in 1980 to 61 in 2000 to 59 in 2010. But now the trend is set to reverse. By 2020, the Census Bureau estimates, the U.S. dependency ratio will be back to 65; in 2030, it will be 75, the worst since the 1960s and 1970s, when the baby boomers were children.
The dependency ratio is a blunt instrument. Not everyone retires the day they turn 65; indeed, as lifespans lengthen (and pensions decline), more people are working later in life. But only up to a point: Plenty of people work past 65; few work past 85.3 It will be a while yet before baby boomers start turning 85, but more of them will get there than any previous generation. By 2050, more than 4 percent of the population will be at least 85 years old, more than double today’s figure.4
 

As bad as the U.S. demographics look, things are worse in much of the world. The U.S. has fewer residents over 65, as a share of its population, than most developed countries, and the disparity will only grow in coming decades. In 2050, about 21 percent of the U.S. population will be 65 or older compared to more than 30 percent in much of Western Europe and an incredible 40 percent in Japan. China, as a result of its “one child” policy, faces its own, somewhat different, demographic crisis.
One reason the U.S. is in better shape is its comparatively high rate of immigration. Since people tend to migrate when they are younger, immigrants tend to bring down the age of the population as a whole. Moreover, at least in the U.S., immigrants tend to have a higher birth rate than the native-born population, although the gap has narrowed somewhat in recent years. The future direction of immigration, therefore, makes a big difference to the age breakdown of the U.S. population. The Census Bureau’s demographic estimates are based on a middle-of-the-road projection of future immigration, but the bureau also publishes alternative scenarios. In the “high immigration” scenario, the U.S. has nearly 22 million more working-age residents in 2050 than in the “low immigration” case.
The U.S. also has another trend working in its favor: Baby boomers are retiring just as their children — sometimes known as the “echo boomers” — are entering their prime working years. Boomers are no longer even the largest age cohort; more of today’s Americans were born in the 1980s and 1990s than in the postwar years. As today’s teens and 20-somethings enter the workforce, they will partly offset their parents’ exit. Indeed, for many young people, mom and dad can’t retire soon enough; some experts argue that boomers, by staying in the workforce longer than past generations, are essentially clogging the usual professional pathways, leaving few opportunities for people beginning their careers.
Thanks in part to the echo boomers, the dependency ratio will flatten out by about 2030. Not that long thereafter, the oldest of the echo boomers will begin entering their own retirement years, and the cycle will begin anew.

Sunday, September 8, 2013

Mosajet: How the politician see the American and West treat...

Mosajet: How the politician see the American and West treat...: How the politician see the American and West treating the coup in Egypt. "Translated" By: BADR Mohammed Badr After a...
How the politician see the American and West treating the coup in Egypt.
"Translated"



By: BADR Mohammed Badr


After a bloody military coup of treacherous in Egypt on July 3, a few days I started speaking Western Governments reluctantly, talking about Egyptian Affairs something of anxiety and anticipation, awaiting the outcome of the General position and the possibility of resolving the matter quickly in favour of the coup.


With growing popular reactions against the military coup, and the subsequent isolation of the first elected civilian President and abolished the Constitution, dissolved Parliament and other results, they started the Western (European and American) are flocking to Egypt, in an attempt to survey the situation on the ground and explore ways for a political solution, by sitting down with political parties, adding to a coup from the military.


But soon calmed such attempts, after significant activity almost daily visits or remarks or meetings, even almost stopped completely now, or at least the advertiser, the question here: why I stopped or at least ostensibly calmed down?


Before the answer is another question in mind: what would you like Europe and America from Egypt? The answer in my appreciation that the European countries in General, and America in particular, seeking to preserve their interests, whether interests of political, economic, security, cultural and otherwise, and certainly the protection of the Zionist entity, and hence the stability in Egypt, but preferably by secular political class, not by Islamists who brought Arab spring.


Although the West is well aware of the fact that Islamists in Egypt and in the Arab world in General, can not be ignored or minimized their role or the possibility of banning them completely from political participation, they think that if secularists in power control in civilian clothing, the best of the West, but this of course will only cancel or disrupt the democratic process and suppress the Islamists who are a force to be reckoned with, and this against Western liberal thought and culture, the Western statements about these two things in one way or (Return to the democratic path, except for one "Islamists" of the political process).


But it seems that the coup the military clique and the secular elite explained to the West and the Americans to put pressure on those two things specifically will restore the position to zero if nothing, as the Islamists are still influential in the street, they could gain a majority in the upcoming elections, the solution in this case (the putschists) is the Suppression of Islamists, and bring them to trial and admitted to prisons and detention facilities, and prevent them from exercising any political activities, preparation of secular Constitution prevents Islamists from participating in future.


And in my opinion that the West expressed its reservation on this track, not, of course, from the angle of Islamists or love in the democratic process, but because this solution leads to embarrass the West "democratic" somewhat with their communities, and also importantly do not destroy Islamic movements, but may open the door to the repercussions of the violence and extremism and immigration can be expected in the medium and long term.


So I think the Western position now boils down to one of two things: first, they realized that a military coup is sinking now, both political suppression of opponents of the Islamists, and commit this brutal bloody massacres against peaceful protestors in rabaa and the field of Renaissance and others, is the blood that had fuelled feelings of rejection of the coup and insist on the return of the legitimacy of ordinary people and not only Islamic movements, are not exempt European massacres in case of failures of international legal accountability, in addition to the lack of success in marketing Itself as a popular revolt against an undemocratic.
Also coup plunges in economic terms, which are on the verge of collapse, despite the large size of Gulf (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the UAE) despite reticence on the difficult living conditions of the Egyptian citizen now.


And in terms of growing demonstrations and marches in support of the legitimate and democratic process despite all the violence, and to enter new sectors of society to this protest marches after the image has been more affected by living conditions in the aftermath of the military coup.


In this case, perhaps the West should leave the coup battling death alone, even if they fell down to our people: we advised them and we advised them much, but they refused to listen to us, what do we do?.


And second: that they had obtained commitments from the coup in terms of relationship with the Zionist entity, especially with regard to making every effort to get rid of Hamas by imposing an economic blockade and the closure of crossing points and destroy tunnels, or military adventure, vowed interfere with the interests of the West in Egypt and the region.


I imagine that the putschists and the secular elite, assured the West that they are determined to continue, because the meaning is clearly falling back is the Islamic project more strongly, so if they succeed in stability and foothold, the best of the West, though they failed to everyone (West and the military and the secular elite) will bear the painful results.


And in this case better to remain supportive of the putschists in secret rather than in public, so there is no point in sending political delegations (from the point of view of the putschists), because it's practically bypassed that stage, and maybe this explains also the Scott West and international organizations and the United Nations, whether the fundamental freedoms in Egypt, and the Islamists currently repression and arrest without compliance with the law, and basic human rights principles in dealing with them.


I think that the growing popular pressure to defend the return of legality and break the coup and continued daily in the streets, crowds and success will push the west and Americans to support the first opnion.
 

 


 

 



 




 



 

 



 

 



 بقلم: بدر محمد بدر...

عقب وقوع الإنقلاب العسكري الدموي الغادر في مصر يوم 3 من يوليو الماضي بأيام قلائل بدأت تصريحات الحكومات الغربية على استحياء، تتحدث عن الشأن المصري بشيئ من القلق والترقب، انتظارا لما يمكن أن يسفر عنه الموقف العام ومدى إمكانية حسم الأمور سريعا لصالح الإنقلاب من عدمه.

ومع تنامي ردود الفعل الشعبية الرافضة للإنقلاب العسكري، وما ترتب عليه من عزل أول رئيس مدني منتخب وإلغاء الدستور وحل مجلس الشورى وغيرها من نتائج، بدأت الوفود الغربية (الأمريكية والأوروبية) تتوافد على مصر، في محاولة لاستطلاع الموقف على الطبيعة واستكشاف طرق الحل السياسي، عن طريق الجلوس مع الأطراف السياسية، إضافة إلى الإنقلابيين من العسكر.

ولكن سرعان ما هدأت هذه المحاولات، بعد نشاط ملحوظ شبه يومي من خلال زيارات أو تصريحات أو لقاءات، حتى تكاد تكون توقفت الآن تماما، أو على الأقل المعلن منها، والسؤال المطروح هنا: لماذا توقفت أو هدأت ظاهريا على الأقل؟

وقبل الإجابة يتبدى في الأذهان سؤال آخر: ماذا تريد أوروبا وأمريكا من مصر بشكل عام؟ والإجابة في تقديري أن الدول الأوروبية عموما، وأمريكا خصوصا، تسعى من أجل الحفاظ على مصالحها، سواء أكانت مصالح سياسية أو اقتصادية أو أمنية أو ثقافية وغيرها، ومنها بالتأكيد حماية الكيان الصهيوني، ومن هنا فإن الاستقرار في مصر مطلوب، ولكن من الأفضل أن يكون ذلك من خلال الطبقة السياسية العلمانية وليس من خلال الإسلاميين الذين أتى بهم الربيع العربي.

ورغم أن كان الغرب يدرك تماما أن الإسلاميين في مصر خاصة، وفي العالم العربي عامة، لا يمكن تجاهلهم أو التقليل من دورهم أو إمكانية منعهم تماما من المشاركة السياسية، فإنهم يعتقدون أنه إذا نجح العلمانيون في السيطرة على السلطة بلباس مدني فهذا أفضل للغرب بالتأكيد، لكن ذلك بالطبع لن يحدث إلا بإلغاء أو تعطيل المسار الديمقراطي وقمع الإسلاميين الذين يمثلون قوة لا يستهان بها، وهذا ضد الفكر والثقافة الغربية الليبرالية، ولذلك كانت التصريحات الغربية تتحدث عن هذين الأمرين بطريقة أو بأخرى (العودة سريعا إلى المسار الديمقراطي، وعدم استثناء أحد "أي الإسلاميين تحديدا" من العملية السياسية).

ولكن يبدو أن زمرة الإنقلابيين العسكر والنخبة العلمانية أوضحوا للغرب والأمريكان أن الضغط في هذين الأمرين تحديدا سوف يعيد الموقف إلى نقطة الصفر وكأن شيئا لم يكن، باعتبار أن الإسلاميين لا يزالون مؤثرين في الشارع السياسي، ويمكنهم أن يحوزوا أغلبية في أي انتخابات قادمة، والحل في هذه الحالة (كما يرى الإنقلابيون) هو قمع هؤلاء الإسلاميين، وتقديمهم للمحاكمات وإدخالهم السجون والمعتقلات، ومنعهم تماما من ممارسة أي نشاط سياسي، وإعداد دستور علماني يمنع الإسلاميين من المشاركة في المستقبل.

وفي تقديري أن الغرب أبدى تحفظه على هذا المسار، ليس بالطبع من زاوية مصلحة الإسلاميين أو حبا في المسار الديمقراطي، ولكن لأن هذا الحل يؤدي إلى إحراج الغرب "الديمقراطي" نوعا ما مع مجتمعاته، وأيضا وهو الأهم لا يقضى على التيارات الإسلامية بشكل نهائي، بل قد يفتح الباب أمام تداعيات عنف وتطرف وهجرة لا يمكن توقع نتائجها في المدى المتوسط والبعيد.

وبالتالي أعتقد أن الموقف الغربي الآن يتلخص في أحد أمرين: الأول أنهم أدركوا أن الإنقلاب العسكري يغرق الآن، سواء من الناحية السياسية بقمع معارضيه من الإسلاميين، وارتكاب هذه المجازر الدموية الوحشية بحق المعتصمين السلميين في رابعة العدوية وميدان النهضة وغيرها، وهي الدماء التي أججت مشاعر رفض الإنقلاب والإصرار على عودة الشرعية من رجل الشارع العادي وليس فقط من التيارات الإسلامية وحدها، وهي مجازر لن تعفيه أوروبيا في حالة الفشل من المساءلة القانونية الدولية، إضافة إلى عدم نجاحه خارجيا في تسويق نفسه باعتباره ثورة شعبية ضد وضع غير ديمقراطي.
أيضا الإنقلاب يغرق من الناحية الاقتصادية التي باتت على وشك الانهيار بشكل كبير، رغم الحجم الكبير للمساعدات الخليجية (السعودية والكويت والإمارات) ورغم التكتم على صعوبة الظروف المعيشية للمواطن المصري حاليا.

أو من ناحية تنامي المظاهرات والمسيرات الداعمة للشرعية وعودة المسار الديمقراطي رغم كل العنف الذي تواجه به، ودخول قطاعات جديدة من المجتمع إلى هذه المسيرات الاحتجاجية، بعد أن اتضحت الصورة أمامها أكثر وتأثرت ظروفها المعيشية بتداعيات الانقلاب العسكري.

وفي هذه الحالة ربما رأى الغرب أن يترك الإنقلاب يصارع الموت وحده، حتى إذا انهار وسقط قالوا لشعوبنا: نصحناهم وحذرناهم كثيرا، ولكنهم رفضوا الاستماع إلينا فماذا نفعل؟!.

والثاني: أنهم حصلوا على تعهدات من الإنقلابيين فيما يخص العلاقة مع الكيان الصهيوني، وخصوصا فيما يتعلق ببذل كل جهد للتخلص من حركة "حماس" عن طريق فرض حصار اقتصادي وغلق المعابر وتدمير الأنفاق، أو القيام بمغامرة عسكرية ضدها، إضافة إلى تعهد الإنقلابيين برعاية مصالح الغرب في مصر والمنطقة بصورة أكبر.

وأتصور أن الإنقلابيين والنخبة العلمانية أكدوا للغرب أنهم مصرون على الاستمرار، لأن معنى سقوطهم بوضوح هو عودة المشروع الإسلامي بقوة أكبر، وبالتالي فلو نجحوا في الاستقرار وتثبيت أقدامهم فهذا أفضل للغرب، ولو فشلوا فالجميع (الغرب والعسكر والنخبة العلمانية) سوف يتحملون نتائج مؤلمة.

وفي هذه الحالة من الأفضل أن يبقى داعما للإنقلابيين في الخفاء أكثر منه في العلن، وبالتالي ليس هناك جدوى من إرسال وفود سياسية (من وجهة نظر الإنقلابيين)، لأن الأمر عمليا تجاوز هذه المرحلة، وربما هذا يفسر كذلك سكوت الغرب الآن ومنظماته الدولية والأمم المتحدة بالذات، عما تتعرض له الحريات في مصر من انتهاكات، وما يواجهه الإسلاميون حاليا من عمليات قمع واعتقال دون الالتزام بالقانون، وإهدار أبسط مبادئ حقوق الإنسان في التعامل معهم.

أعتقد أن تنامي الضغط الشعبي للدفاع عن عودة الشرعية وكسر الانقلاب واستمرار الحشود اليومية في الشوارع، والنجاح في إدخال فئات جديدة لدعم التظاهرات، وبدء عصيان مدني مؤثر، سوف يؤدي إلى تبني الغرب للمسار الأول.


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Sunday, July 14, 2013

Al Sisi and the Military Coup in Egypt

The Group's first statement were deceived in Sisi's former Defense Minister, when he said that the armed forces would not allow Egypt to enter a tunnel of darkness or dragged into civil war or sectarian strife! I find that this time is the role of the Egyptian army a bias for the security of the people and the nation and to protect constitutional legitimacy! But – same-Sisi is a military coup said dummy urban destinations after the deployment of the army under the guise of protecting Egypt from chaos and assaults on rouah allthe! But in fact the implementation of military control on the ground to protect the coup Declaration of legitimacy at the expense of group bias team which Egyptian national security seriously sum up some risk here to realize any swamp led-Sisi's companions who stood with him!!
First: the involvement of religious symbols with other liberal and secular constitutional legitimacy rebel accepted the Egyptian people stresses the seriousness of the split caused by the coup d ' état which had expected three days of complete control of its country and people! And they lost their bets where popular resistance appeared to reject stronger day after day! I think that the way out of this as both Azhar and Baba alarthosox represent only themselves and Patriots who love Egypt and its people without distinction the announcement and take positions in favor of legitimate regardless of the President election will fund a peaceful trading and this liberal approach rather than peaceful vision of Sisi's creating sectarian strife in Egypt!
Second: that the President of the Constitutional Court following the announcement of the suspension of the Constitution referendum and dissolved only the so-called interim presidency underlines the animosity that dominated the members of the Constitutional Court of the new regime have repeatedly condemned after unprecedented rulings are respected in the world by the new rulers who overthrew the Constitution who vowed to respect with Sisi and coup leader over their rulings that recognized the existence of the Consultative Council in order clearly offended for the Elimination of doubt! Add to that the release of all the accused ex of the ousted regime and their crimes, real and fabricated accusations of the supporters of the legitimate and placing the judiciary in a serious litmus test will be set down detailed history unless Honorable of them rise up to stop these extravaganzas decisively and without giving in to the reality of broken-down won't last, God willing!
III: Mr. Dr. Mohamed ElBaradei President of external affairs and make considerable effort to market the idea of ending the ruling Islamists and drop the President-elect is in itself a threat to Egyptian national security for not recover files to like him who owed abroad, especially American allegiance that controlled and that its role in the war on Iraq could not be ignored, it has changed military doctrine for the army of deHis garrison to the East Wing of the Arabic nation and a strong partner in the Islamic Ummah to shield its army just as he wants to do in Egypt – the fight against terrorism, we no longer see a strategic enemy but Iraq has plunged into the Iraqi army in the killing of his sons according to the identity of the Iraqi people still suffering from scientists and killed men, women and children are incarcerated in prisons in Iraq thousands! In short, ElBaradei carries a serious message wants implemented in Egypt and Egypt is the only national army transformation and the strongest in the region to address the internal enemy rather than full-time for enemies abroad who surround to Egypt from each side! Response involving the capsizing Sisi on constitutional legality in conflict to hotbed of Egypt turned the wrong direction between the army and the people and will not allow any Egyptian national!
Fourth: that army policy bias and impose it on the ground by his team of opposition from the people of the region and the who has so far failed in all electoral benefits against another group of popular anger others, then herding them to conspiring to carry out a coup to capture popular President rejects banded edges and occur in a human Advisor, Dr. Rafiq Habib in detail specifies the groups and the role of each individual and the sources of financing and accompanying fabricating problems of life and promotion of popular rejection under security protection Sometimes negative and sometimes positive with broad judicial released all suspects meted out, promoted them false flags hypocrite catch price! Even when the day passed 30 without any effect out of Sisi group gives them the kiss of life by 48 hours returned some areas partially and conspiracy as announced in response to the will of the people! While another team has not forgotten those rented a home on June 28 and has increased despite the arrest of its leaders and closing the channels and stop newspapers and media siege lasting distortion and lying for what happened and is happening! And though they-Pro-keep up to date! This internal fighting threatens the return of security and fabrication issues and the absence of Justice and this is the third warning to Sisi's civil war! The ballot is the sole political standoff peacefully but the appearance of tanks on the scene and killed peaceful demonstrators as the massacre of worshipers in front of Republican Guard a seed fight internal goal of America in destroying the Egyptian army and industry civil war supported by the putschists if the army retreats from the negative attitude of the Sisi!
VA: forget the media wave and mercenary politicians who opposed the President's actions always edit the Egyptian Foreign control will the President refused to visit America for a year as a rejection of the dictates of their return by the former rulers of Egypt, the Egyptian economy was planned to grow in earnest in the framework of the real development began manifestation in some industries and in high levels of exports and dollar reserves and a number of tourist nights and savings of blowjobsLiberians at home and transfers of Egyptians abroad! No wonder no one appreciates the difficulties of editing and the Egyptian economy will cost whatever the future of the industry better and attacked Akram and Sahih in the coup it as immediate grants and loans of 12 billion in three days but will be demolished but was weighed down by Sisi a Suez Canal development project which would have on Egypt more than $ 100 billion a year in response to the request of the UAE!!!And increases the size of the plot, convert remaining reserve which fell in one week 3 billion dollars to Egypt's debt bonds abroad and is why honest researchers don't stop mercenaries who participated in selling Egypt abroad rose and envy from themselves and which threatens Egyptian national security which falls before the creditors and are not capable of self-sufficiency to the requirements of Division without abroad mainly shortly after the military coup of legality!
The most serious threat to Egyptian national security after a Sisi on constitutional legality (the elected President and the Constitution and elected Parliament poller) summarized in a lack of confidence in the armed forces and the threat of conflict comes out of his main army to counter the threat of the outside in the Zionist entity to risk inside artificial after closing ports of democracy, freedom and social justice, as in Iraq, in the country on the brink of a civil war will not respond to it or sectarian strife or economy wise mind ytavo'ha collapsed with flouting the will of People continued to be deprived of their right to free choice and when by every liberty turned the enemies of freedom and democracy with the support from home and abroad to Egyptian tanks and is why the Egyptian people to pay attention and come down to the fields to recover full revolution to leave El Sisi and Dolly away from Egypt may be honorable in the armed forces have the country back to normal and free democratic choice o o witness amounted
Dr. Mohamed Gamal heshmat
 
University Professor and Deputy of the Parliament of Egypt
15 July 2013
Dr Mohamed Gamal Heshmat
Prof of Endemic Diseases
Medical Research Institute
Alexandria University